Live Research
Moodline
Betting markets already price the statistics. Moodline asks what they miss: the human. Tennis is the purest lab — an individual sport that's famously "90% mental," where one psyche decides the match. The market's devigged probability is taken as the rational baseline; deterministic signals (fatigue, marathon matches, head-to-head demons, streaks) plus AI agents reading each player's recent headlines nudge it by at most ±6%. Psychology adjusts the market — it never overrides it.
Odds ingest → signals → Groq sentiment agents → picks locked before first serve (insert-only, losses never deleted) → graded nightly. AWS Lambda + EventBridge cron · Supabase · backtested on ~48,000 matches of real closing odds.
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This is a public research experiment in market efficiency, not betting advice — no wagers are placed, and the point is the honest scoreboard: predictions are timestamped before matches, immutable after, and the backtest's "the market mostly wins" result is published right alongside the part that worked.